The Hot Sheet - Sept 22nd, 2025

The best individual performances of the week, weighted by opponent strength and translatable dynasty traits.

How We Pick ‘Em

  • Opponent strength first. Ranked teams, elite defenses, rivalry pressure.

  • Dynasty lens second. Accuracy/processing for QBs, three-down indicators for RBs, separation/red-zone craft for WRs.

  • Production matters—but empty calories get dinged.

Quarterbacks

Fernando Mendoza (QB, Indiana) — 6'5"/225
Stat line: 21/23, 267 Yards, 5 TD, 0 INT
Opponent: #9 Illinois
Mendoza dismantled a ranked, defense-first unit with anticipation and ball placement, not gimmicks. He threw into tight windows, handled disguise without flinching, and kept negatives off the sheet. In NFL terms, he’s a rhythm/timing point guard for WCO/RPO structures; 2026-likely with a Day-2 (R2–R3) path if this efficiency holds, sitting SF rookie Rd 2 (2.03–2.10) with late-1st upside only if true Round-1 buzz materializes.

Demond Williams Jr (QB, Washington) — 5'11"/190
Stat line: 16/19, 298 Yards, 4 TD | 13 Carries, 88 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Washington State
Five total TDs on 84% completions in a rivalry is real control. He layered throws, protected himself as a runner, and never let tempo outrun poise. Built for spread/RPO looks as a calibrated dual-threat; not a 2026 name—watchlist for 2027, where he can force his way into the top cluster if he stacks high-volume games vs ranked defenses.

Dylan Raiola (QB, Nebraska) — 6'3"/230
Stat line: 30/41, 308 Yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
Opponent: #21 Michigan
Worked the intermediate middle and stayed on schedule against a ranked front, resetting his base instead of bailing under heat. That’s modern pocket play with functional mobility; 2027 and projected near the top of the class, with Round-1 expectations if the explosives keep climbing.

Aidan Chiles (QB, Michigan State) — 6'3"/225
Stat line: 12/21, 212 Yards, 3 TD | 10 Carries, 35 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: #25 USC
Four TDs on modest volume screams situational mastery—cashed leverage, used legs as a weapon (not a crutch), and avoided the back-breaker. Toolsy distributor for play-action/condensed-split families; 2026-likely still a Day-3 pick until consistency tightens, landing roughly SF late-2nd/early-3rd right now.

Jayden Maiava (QB, USC) — 6'4"/230
Stat line: 20/26, 234 Yards, 3 TD | 4 Carries, 31 Yards, 2 TD
Opponent: Michigan State
Efficient, ruthless finishing—five total TDs (three passing, two rushing) on just 26 passing attempts. Structure-first distributor with red-zone keeper value; 2026-likely and tracking early Day-2 (R2) if the rushing share and on-schedule efficiency persist, late-1st to early-2nd in Superflex builds.

Josh Hoover (QB, TCU) — 6'2"/200
Stat line: 22/40, 379 Yards, 5 TD, 1 INT | 8 Carries, 27 Yards
Opponent: SMU
Rivalry heat and he kept firing—intermediate/vertical aggression without the meltdown. NFL question is turnover management as volume scales; 2026-likely with R3–R4 range until the clean sheets stack, SF early/mid-3rd with room to improve if draft capital beats expectations.

Trinidad Chambliss (QB, Ole Miss) — 6'1"/200
Stat line: 17/27, 307 Yards, 2 TD | 14 Carries, 112 Yards
Opponent: Tulane
Structure on schedule, controlled chaos when needed—designed-run value with enough downfield shots to stress rules. Timeline unclear (2026–27 window) and not on boards yet; for now he’s a watchlist profile who needs high-attempt games to establish a draft lane.

Running Backs

Jonah Coleman (RB, Washington) — 5'9"/228
Stat line: 12 Carries, 59 Yards, 2 TD | 6 Catches, 104 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Washington State
Won real routes (angle/option), finished through contact, and handled short-yardage—checks the three-down boxes without fluff. Scheme-versatile for gap or zone, with pass-pro good enough to stay on the field. 2026-likely, tracking Round 2 if the receiving role holds; SF mid-1st in RB-needy builds.

Dylan Riley (RB, Boise State) — 5'10"/190
Stat line: 19 Carries, 171 Yards, 4 TD | 2 Catches, 84 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Air Force
Vision/tempo created creases and he finished forward; the long catch wasn’t a freebie. G5 and small-sample caveats keep the brakes on until he repeats this vs better fronts. 2026-likely Day 3 (R4–R5) today; SF late-2nd/early-3rd thanks to the receiving pop.

Waymond Jordan (RB, USC) — 5'10"/210
Stat line: 18 Carries, 157 Yards | 2 Catches, 25 Yards
Opponent: Michigan State
Decisive tracks, one-cut burst, and zero wasted motion; controlled the middle quarters and closed with power. Frame/tempo fit outside-zone and duo; 2027 watchlist pending proof of a locked-in workload against top fronts.

Jeremiyah Love (RB, Notre Dame) — 6'0"/214
Stat line: 19 Carries, 157 Yards, 2 TD
Opponent: Purdue
Feet and balance bailed out imperfect blocks; finished runs without losing speed, and showed functional receiving. That’s an every-down template, not a gadget. 2026-likely, pushing R1/R2 if targets stick; SF top-4 outcomes are in play.

Justice Haynes (RB, Michigan) — 5'11"/210
Stat line: 17 Carries, 149 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Nebraska
Pro tracks, pro body—took the free yards and ripped explosives without dancing. Receiving sample is light, but nothing here hurts an every-down projection. 2026-likely with firm R1–R2 buzz; SF top-6 profile if usage holds.

Robert Henry (RB, UTSA) — 5'9"/205
Stat line: 21 Carries, 144 Yards, 1 TD | 2 Catches, 76 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Colorado State
Early-down hammer plus explosive YAC when schemed into space—game-script proof. Age/G5 context keeps rooms conservative, but the role translates. 2026-likely Day 3 (R4–R5) with SF early-to mid-2nd appeal and spike-week upside.

“Hollywood” Smothers (RB, NC State) — 5'11"/195
Stat line: 17 Carries, 123 Yards, 1 TD | 5 Catches, 41 Yards
Opponent: Duke
Early downs, two-minute, and closer reps—coaches trust him. Not a long-speed outlier, so value leans volume and targets. 2026-likely Day 3 right now; SF 3rd right now, but could climb into the 2nd.

Adam Randall (RB, Clemson) — 6'2"/235
Stat line: 16 Carries, 130 Yards | 7 Catches, 44 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Syracuse
Ground volume plus real routes and short-yardage utility—clean three-down signal. Power/zone offenses will like the fit. 2026-likely Day 2 track; SF round-2 anchor with TD-driven RB1 path if GL work sticks.

Pass Catchers

Eric McAlister (WR, TCU) — 6'3"/205
Stat line: 8 Catches, 254 Yards, 3 TD
Opponent: SMU
Alpha takeover—stacked corners vertically, finished above the rim, and added YAC on in-breakers to close the door. Market today: mid-round Day 3 to fringe Day 2 (R3–R5). Path to ceiling: stack explosives vs ranked opponents, keep drops down, show press-win/route detail, then validate mid-4.4s and dominate a Senior Bowl week.

Jacory Barney Jr (WR, Nebraska) — 6'0"/170
Stat line: 6 Catches, 120 Yards, 2 TD
Opponent: #21 Michigan
Speed showed up vs a ranked defense and the nuance is coming—stacked late, found the ball without drifting. Market today: 2027 watchlist, not a 2026 name. Path to ceiling: add functional mass, expand the route inventory, and keep producing against Big Ten secondaries → sets up real capital next cycle.

Makai Lemon (WR, USC) — 5'11"/195
Stat line: 8 Catches, 127 Yards, 1 TD | 2 Carries, 11 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Michigan State
Inside-out usage with steady separation and red-zone involvement—defenses have to account for him every snap. Market today: real R1/R2 buzz (some outlets have him as an early Day-2 type; others tout him as a top WR in 2026). Path to ceiling: keep per-route efficiency elite vs top corners, add more outside wins, and he stays in the Round-1 lane.

Isaiah Sategna (WR, Oklahoma) — 5'10"/182
Stat line: 9 Catches, 127 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: #22 Auburn
High-volume chain mover with legit track speed; pacing creates clean separation. Market today: Day 3 profile until the explosives show up consistently in SEC play. Path to ceiling: stack 20-yard gains vs ranked opponents, add return value, and verify long speed → pushes toward R3.

Omari Kelly (WR, Michigan State) — 6'0"/188
Stat line: 6 Catches, 133 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: #25 USC
True vertical separation with late hands and boundary control—these were real chunk wins, not busts. Market today: late Day 3 (R5) special-teams/vertical role player. Path to ceiling: broaden the intermediate tree and sustain target share against top DBs → move into R4 conversation.

On the Radar

Denzel Boston (WR, Washington)
Stat line: 6 Catches, 107 Yards, 2 TD
Opponent: Washington State

Cade Klubnik (QB, Clemson)
Stat line: 37/60, 363 Yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
Opponent: Syracuse

Darian Mensah (QB, Duke)
Stat line: 19/28, 269 Yards, 3 TD, 0 INT
Opponent: NC State

Malik Washington (QB, Maryland)
Stat line: 265 Yards, 2 TD | 1 Rush TD
Opponent: Wisconsin

Mark Fletcher Jr (RB, Miami)
Stat line: 24 Carries, 116 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: Florida

Leshon Williams (RB, Kansas)
Stat line: 19 Carries, 129 Yards, 1 TD | 1 Catch, 39 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: West Virginia

Elijah Sarratt (WR, Indiana)
Stat line: 9 Catches, 92 Yards, 2 TD
Opponent: #9 Illinois

Ian Strong (WR, Rutgers)
Stat line: 8 Catches, 151 Yards
Opponent: Iowa

Cam Coleman (WR, Auburn)
Stat line: 3 Catches, 88 Yards, 1 TD
Opponent: #11 Oklahoma

TJ Moore (WR, Clemson)
Stat line: 8 Catches, 92 Yards
Opponent: Syracuse

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The Hot Sheet - Sept 29th, 2025

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The Hot Sheet - Sept 15th, 2025